Written by SportsDayDFW.com
SportsDayHS' mock realignment: Our best guess as to how it will shake out
Here are what new districts might look like when released Thursday. Please note: our projections are merely educated guesses. South Grand Prairie coach Brent Whitson said it best: “The Pentagon has more leaks than the UIL when it comes to realignment.”
Comment: Birdville ISD’s 5A teams -- Haltom and Richland -- or the Mansfield schools could slide in as a natural pairing of the Fort-Worth area 5A teams and Abilene’s schools. Either way, it looks like some D/FW teams will be making the three-hour drive out west.
Arlington Sam Houston
Comment: Arlington and Mansfield schools were grouped together in the 2008-10 realignment. Grand Prairie's two 5As would make sense as a partner here as well. Midlothian could go any number of places, making an eight-team district here, or -- if Irving schools join the Arlington district -- staying in its current district with Duncanville, Cedar Hill, et al.
South Grand Prairie
Comment: For 10 of the last 12 years, Irving and Grand Prairie 5A schools have shared a district. DeSoto's inclusion changes the balance of power, not only becoming the district heavyweight, but giving Skyline an easier run for the 5A DI football title next year in Region II.
Keller Fossil Ridge
Keller Timber Creek
Hurst L.D. Bell
Comment: Grapevine-Colleyville, Keller and Hurst-Euless Bedford ISDs shared a district in the 2008-09 realignment. Grapevine-Colleyville could go into the Lewisville district as well, swapping places for Southlake Carroll, Coppell and/or Justin Northwest.
Flower Mound Marcus
Comment: Carroll, Ryan and the Lewisville schools would pick up the mantle of “Toughest 5A district” from the current 8-5A. Coppell could easily be added to this district, at the expense of Ryan, which wouldn't exactly make things easier.
Comment: Coppell is the obvious outlier in what would be a Central Expressway district. Denton Ryan could be moved in instead, as could Jesuit or Carrollton R.L. Turner. If two CFISD schools move up, there would be space in a Plano/McKinney/Allen pairing, unlike potential Dallas/Richardson or Garland districts.
Carrollton R.L. Turner
Comment: The Dallas/Richardson pairing seems logical, especially with Pearce moving up. Two teams are logical options to create an eight-team district: Jesuit and R.L. Turner.
Garland Lakeview Centennial
Garland Naaman Forest
Comment: Jesuit in this district is a bit of a flyer, but the school has been paired with nine different ISD clusters since joining the UIL in 2004.
Comment: Rockwall played in a similar district (minus Heath and adding Tyler John Tyler) in the 2004-05 seasons. DeSoto could be left in this district, even with the Rockwall schools going up. We decided to move them, reducing overall travel for all schools by one week.
Wichita Falls Rider
Comment: This grouping of schools has been together for the last two realignments. Trophy Club Byron Nelson and/or Prosper could be potential add-ons.
Saginaw Chisholm Trail
Trophy Club Byron Nelson
Comment: A similar district compared to the current 5-4A, with Saginaw and Saginaw Chisholm Trail replacing Springtown and Keller Timber Creek.
FW Arlington Heights
FW North Side
FW South Hills
FW Trimble Tech
FW Western Hills
Comment: All these FWISD teams are geographically contiguous, and almost all inside Fort Worth's loop. The loss of traditional power Dunbar would be a loss, especially in basketball.
FW Eastern Hills
FW O.D. Wyatt
Comment: The Fort Worth schools must breakup because of Polytechnic’s rise to 4A. Eastern Hills, Dunbar and O.D. Wyatt would be a natural fit in this district as schools on the southeastern side of Fort Worth.
Carrollton Newman Smith
Comment: Prosper seems an ideal fit, located just a few miles up the Tollway from Frisco. If Newman Smith moves to 5A, Little Elm could be a good substitute to make an eight-team district.
Comment: The addition of North Forney to 4A pushes someone out of the old 15-4A, and the Mesquite schools make the most logical sense with their proximity to Highland Park, Wylie and McKinney.
South Oak Cliff
Comment: Samuell sliding down to 4A allows for two eight-team districts -- that is if Carter, Seagoville and Pinkston all stay up. We moved Samuell into the current southside DISD district, bumping out North Dallas.
Comment: Last round's alignment remains unaltered, save the introduction of Uptown's North Dallas. If Pinkston and Seagoville fall, expect Lincoln and North Dallas to head back south.
Comment: One of the most difficult districts to envision. The two Waco schools' current district looks to be no more, with Stephenville likely going down to 3A, Killeen and Waco Midway likely going up, and San Angelo Lake View moving into a newly created 4A district out west. Coming north for them makes sense.
Comment: An entertaining district as 15-4A the last two years should see little change. North Forney had solid athletic programs at the 3A level. Moving Mesquite Poteet and West Mesquite, and adding one team, makes for a more palatable eight-team district than last round's nine-team alignment.
Comment: The current District 13-4A remains unchanged, still paired with an East Texas district (numbered 16-4A). Texarkana Texas' 4A number makes it difficult to pair with any district. Going with Sherman and Denison makes for a long three-hour drive, but so does potentially moving them south with Nacogdoches. Greenville and Royse City could easily move in with HP, Wylie and the Mesquite district.
TEAMS ON THE RISE
4A to 5A
Denton Ryan (2,124, up from 1,870)
Carrollton R.L. Turner (2,132, up from 2,014)
Keller Timber Creek (2,208, up from 1,762)
McKinney (2,121, up from 2,000)
Richardson Pearce (2,133, up from 1,965.5)
Rockwall (2,212, up from 2,045)
Rockwall-Heath (2,144, up from 1,965)
3A to 4A
Fort Worth Polytechnic (approx. 1,100, up from 984)
Prosper (1,257, up from 870)
Lovejoy (1,104, up from 946)
2A to 3A
Melissa (457, up from 370.5)
TEAMS MOVING DOWN
5A to 4A
Samuell (1,895 from 2,075)
4A to 3A
Springtown (932, down from 1,030)
TEAMS ON THE BUBBLE
Carrollton Creekview (2,037, down from 2,062.5)
Carrollton Newman Smith (2,083, up from 1,992)
Denton Guyer (2,064, down from 2,074)
Mansfield Legacy (2,050, down from 2,309)
Mansfield Summit (2,067, up from 2,035)
Carter (1,039, down from 1,365)
Kaufman (998, up from 950)
North Forney (1,031, up from 904)
Pinkston (1,019, down from 1,128)
Seagoville (1,024, down from 1,153)
Stephenville (999, down from 1,033)
NEW ON THE SCENE
4A - Burleson Centennial
4A - Mansfield Lake Ridge
4A - Saginaw Chisholm Trail